Does Jane Doe have cancer given a positive test
1
Probability Mode
Score
0.97%
Proposed Belief
100%
TE
0
2
0
2
Jane Doe has Breast Cancer
Probability Mode
Score
0.97%
0.97%
Proposed Belief
100%
100%
Likelihood Estimate given target=True
50.0%
Likelihood Estimate given target=False
50.0%
Likelihood Estimate
REPLY
EDIT
DELETEJane Doe has cancer.
This is an example of a classic Bayesian calculation. it is patterned on ( and the numbers are taken from) the discussion on pages 104-105 in
Pearl, Judea. The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect. Basic Books. Kindle Edition.
Replies to the Statement
2
0
Proofs - PRO To Topic
2
Test Statements for Probability Testing
Refutations - CON To Topic
0
Statement Rating History
Graph Last Updated: 18 Apr 2025
05 Sep 2020
TE
TE
03 Sep 2020
TE
TE
03 Sep 2020
TE
TE
02 Sep 2020
TE
TE
02 Sep 2020
TE
TE
02 Sep 2020
TE
TE
Replies to the Topic
Proofs - PRO to Topic
Refutations - CON to Topic
Test Statements for Probability Testing
